Trouble lies ahead for European luxury brands and car makers as China’s slowdown hurts profits, share prices, valuations and jobs
2024-07-25
European Firms Grapple with China's Economic Slowdown
As China's economic growth slows, European companies across various industries are feeling the impact, from luxury brands to automakers. The downturn in the Asian economic giant is posing significant challenges for businesses heavily reliant on demand from the region.
Navigating the Turbulent Chinese Market
Luxury Brands Face Declining Sales
Luxury brands like Hugo Boss, Burberry, and LVMH have all reported a decline in sales in China, as consumers there become more cautious with their spending. LVMH, the world's largest luxury conglomerate, saw a 14% drop in sales in the region that includes China during the second quarter. This has had a severe impact on profits, with LVMH's shares falling 5% in early trading on Wednesday and losing 23% over the past 12 months.
Automotive Sector Struggles with Supply Shortages and Slowing Demand
The automotive industry is also feeling the pinch, with Daimler Truck Holding AG and Porsche AG among the high-profile names affected. Porsche's shares slumped on Tuesday after a supply shortage added to the pressure from slowing sales in China. The German car industry, which accounts for a significant portion of the European Union's exports to China, is particularly vulnerable to the downturn.
Industrial Goods Manufacturers Face Declining Orders
The impact of China's slowdown extends beyond luxury goods and automobiles, with industrial goods manufacturers also reporting a decline in orders. ABB Ltd., a Swiss engineering company, cited a double-digit drop in Chinese orders as a factor in its poor quarterly performance.
Semiconductor Firms Grapple with Geopolitical Tensions
The semiconductor industry is also facing challenges, with ASML Holding NV, Europe's third-largest company by market value, seeing its stock tumble 17% last week on concerns that the US could impose fresh curbs on companies supplying advanced chip technology to China.
Diversification and Adaptation Strategies
In response to the slowdown, some European companies are taking measures to mitigate the impact. Swatch Group, the maker of Omega, Blancpain, and Tissot watches, is reducing production by 20% to 30% and cutting costs, though it is not significantly reducing its workforce in Switzerland. The company is aiming to be ready to ramp up production when China's demand recovers, though CEO Nick Hayek does not expect a significant turnaround this year.
China as a Competitor and the Threat of Tariffs
The challenges facing European companies extend beyond just declining sales in China. The country is also emerging as a competitor, threatening profits in a range of sectors, from semiconductors to chemicals. This rivalry is also playing out in the form of tariffs, with the EU imposing temporary duties on electric vehicles made in China. The uncertainty surrounding these developments is already affecting earnings, with Sweden's Volvo Car AB trimming its auto sales forecast for this year due to its EVs being manufactured in China.As the earnings season continues, investors and analysts will be closely monitoring the guidance and commentary from European companies with significant exposure to the Chinese market. The ability of these firms to navigate the turbulent economic conditions and adapt to the changing competitive landscape will be crucial in determining their future performance.